Thursday, January 24, 2008

Global Warming May Reduce Hurricane Landfalls

This is the most bizarre article I have read since this class began. I do not understand how someone can say that the number of hurricanes that strike land are going to decrease from the effects of global warming. Articles like this one give people who do not believe global warming is affecting our world to stick with their conviction.

According to research from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the University of Miami Florida conducted research on global warming and its link to vertical wind shear. They say that the vertical wind shear increases as the oceans get warmer. The "number of hurricanes, strength, and activity" will supposedly drop because of this strong vertical wind shear.

The article also mentions that "the Nobel Prize-winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)" believes the hurricanes will intensify and increase in number. They also say that people should not look at the number of hurricanes that have made landfall, but the number that form overall.

Another point to consider is how unpredictable the weather really is. Weather reports are wrong almost seventy five percent of the time, which means that predictions about the hurricane seasons should be taken with a grain of salt. I think that these researchers just want to give a sense of hope to people. At the same time, it's research like this which confuses people who are unsure about the effects of global warming. It may also be ethically irresponsible to publish articles like these since many people believe them whole heartedly. What do you think?

Who really knows if global warming will really reduce the amount of hurricanes? I guess time will tell us all.

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