Sunday, April 13, 2008

Dangerous Assumptions....

New nature commentary, Dangerous Assumptions, by the University of Colorado at Boulder, the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, and McGill University in Montreal, concludes that we have greatly underestimated the technological challenges involved in reducing CO2 emissions. The IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Control), currently breaks down its projections into two categories, those that will occur spontaneously and those that will be policy driven. The new study reports that this practice of division is greatly skewing the numbers, the world, particularly the United States is hearing. IPCC projects that 57 to 96 percent of the total carbon removed from the energy supply will be spontaneous. The nature commentary provides several future scenarios using "frozen technology" in which they assume current technology remains unchanged, from this the difficulties of managing CO2 emissions can clearly be seen.

The IPCC predictions rely heavily on "magical" technology that will "naturally" come about. Stabilizing CO2 emissions is not something that will happen spontaneously or without change in policy. In order to fix the problem there must be cooperation between countries of the world, corporations of the world, and the people of the world.

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